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Property Press Briefing
发布时间:2020-8-3 13:21:17 来源:

Sales commentary, not BofA research



l  Friday: NKY -2.82%, HSI -0.47%, SHCOMP +0.71%, KOSPI -0.78%

l  Dow +0.44%, SPX +0.77%, Nasdaq +1.49%

l  US: Microsoft, Bytedance reportedly put US TikTok acqn talks on hold

l  US: Pompeo xpcts announcement 'shortly' on China Software issue

l  US/CN: US sanctioned a CN entity & 2 ppl for “serious human rights abuses” against Uighurs in Xinjiang

l  CN/EU: 'deeply concerned' a/b EU Cyber Statement

l  CN: To fight against illegal funding for stock invstmt. Won't interfere in stock mkt, to stabilize xpctation

l  CN: Weighs antitrust probe into Alipay, Wechat pay: Reuters

l  CN: State Admin for Mkt Reg’n & antitrust experts say unaware of investigation re Alipay & WeChat pay

l  CN: Alibaba & E-House to build online real estate platform

l  CN: Repeats its space activities have peaceful purpose

l  CN: Calls Moderna hacking accusations smearing, rumors

l  CN: Believe HK will properly handle its affairs, virus; safe holding of election is responsibility of HK Gov

l  HK: CEO Carrie Lam postpones LegCo polls 1yr citing health risks of voting amid Covid-19

l  US/HK: Pompeo condemns HK poll delay & urges city to rethink

l  HK: Finc’l Secretary Chan said shld consider letting residents testing -ve travel to CN & Macau

l  HK: Jun mortgage loans drawn down +23.8% on mth

l  HK: Swire Prop 1H Pacific Place retail sales -47% while Apr-Jun mall/office occupancy @ 100%/97%

l  HK: Updated Rt 0.9387, up from 0.85, but still holding below 1.

l  JP: Govt virus expert - need policies to reduce infections as soon as possible

l  JP: Okinawa to declare state of emergency over coronavirus: FNN

l  PH:  Duterte tightened Metro Manila & NCR’s lockdown status to MECQ effective Aug 4 (details below)



Finally:  US women control >$10trn in US household financial assets, an amt likely to 3x in a decade. The shift is being driven by aging baby boomers, set to inherit wealth as they outlive their spouses, + by younger women who are becoming more financially savvy, per a McKinsey & Co. survey. unprecedented amt of assets will shift into the hands of US women over nxt 3-5yrs, representing a $30 trn opportunity by the end of the decade," The conclusions have implications for wealth mgt, where women represent just 15% of financial advisers. The industry, which has long been dominated by men, will need to come up w/ systematic ways to serve female customers, just as the automotive & real estate industries have done, McKinsey said.  Retaining female baby boomers as clients cld boost advisers’ revenue by a 3rd; & clinching younger women, particularly millennials as customers, cld accelerate revenue gwth by 4x industry ave, per analysis by McKinsey’s PriceMetrix unit. (BBG Quint)




Shenzhen suspends approval of commercial apts; encourages conversion of approved ones to talent housing. The city will proportion of commercial land + proportion of resi land. (The Paper)

Shenzhen will supply 198ha industrial sites this yr.  Already supplied 95ha YTD. (The Paper)

New home sales volume 17.5%YoY last wk in 18 major cities, w/ double-digit % growth across city tiers, according to CREIS. (CREIS)

Chengdu resumed the 2-rounds review process for lots drawing on new home units launches. Chengdu simplified the process in March 2020 in order to stimulate demand. (The Paper) >>> tightening measure in Chengdu xpctd, but this measure is much lighter.

Ever Sunshine (1995 HK) reported +ive earnings alert. The unaudited consolidated net profit and the profit attributable to sh/ldrs in 1H20 are expected to >80% and 60%, respectively. (Co) >>> Eric: 1H earnings growth seems stronger than our expectation of 40%~50%.

Alibaba agreed to subscribe shares and convertible bonds of E-house. è Alibaba will stake in E-house to 8.32% if CBs converted, & become 2nd largest sh/ldr. E-house entered into a cooperation agreement with Alibaba under which both parties agree to cooperate to build an online real estate marking & transaction platform. (Co) >>> Conversion price of HK$10.37 is lower than last closing price of HK$11.2. Alibaba’s acquisition of E-house stake may be a strategic move to compete with the alliance between Homelink (Beike) and Tencent.

R&F won a tender of urban renewal project in Dongguan, 120k sqm, mainly consists of old factories. R&F established the urban renewal group in Dongguan in Jan-2020, and now has acq’d 10+ urban renewal projects in Dongguan. (CCGP)

Country Garden to buy an elevator-focused ad firm City-Media (delisted last yr). Price cld reach Rmb1.5b. Purchase set to boost CGS’ EPS ~2% annually nxt 3yrs. (Sina)

Evergrande may spin off property mgmt biz in HK. The separate listing cld raise $1b~$2b. (Co)

Gemdale 1H profit attributable to owners of the Co will by not <35%. (Co)

Kaisa (2168) +VE profit alert (1H NP +30%)

CC Land (1224) -VE profit warning (1H to turn to loss)

Hong Kong/Macau

Updated Rt 0.9387, up from 0.85, but still holding below 1.

HK blocks 12 democrats from electionHK "would not rule out regulating the press”, per Ta Kung Pao. (Yahoo, Ta Kung Pao)

Total 200 new homes sold during w/e. HK Ferry / Empire Seacoast Royale sold out all of the 185 units they put up for sale, price HK$11,961-17,035/ft2. (HKET)   SHKP sold 36 of 54 units at Regency Bay for sale on Sat, a 67% sell-thru. Effective ASP HK$17.7k/ft2. Devr also tendered out a special unit at HK$17.02mn or at a record high effective ASP of HK$24.6k/ft2. (Wenweipo)  Not a bad result in light of Typhoon & Virus

Mr. TANG Shing Bor admitted that Stan Group (headed by youngest son) has been tapping bridge loans & selling assets to raise funds & ease cash crunch.  Reportedly spent HK$10b on acqns prior to pandemic. (Apple Daily)

2 construction workers at NWD/ MTRC’s Tai Wai Station project infected; work temporarily halted. (ST Headline)  >>> unlikely to affect the expected project delivery.

2ndary market supply may soon rise on the lapse of Special Stamp Duty (SSD) for 10k units. More owners may now choose to sell immediately when they are no longer subject to SSD due to an uncertain outlook for home prices / economy.  (Apple Daily)

Swire Prop: 100% occupancy at Pac Place mall Apr-June, H1 sales 47%. (Co) 


A bright spot in office sector invsmt: 2Q $1.3b chngd hands, 68.9%QoQ, thanks to notable deals such as sale of 50% stake of AXA Tower by Alibaba, & 30% stake of TripleOne Somerset by Shun Tak. (Edge Prop)

Adjoining condos at Sophia Rd to be up for collective sale w/ S$64m indicative price. A/f factoring in potential bonus GFA for balconies, the land rate will be ~S$1,195/ft2. (Biz Times)

Sabana Reit explains S$54.7m in assets’ fair val: Ongoing pandemic affecting assumptions on mkt rent & mkt rent gwth rate. (Biz Times)

Far East H-Trust DPS for H1 43.4%YoY to 1.03 S cents. Gross revenue 20.6% to S$44.3m, NPI 23.1% to S$38.6m. (Biz Times)

Australia / New Zealand – Bank holiday in Australia today

Regional prop mkts significantly outperformed city mkts on avg over past yr, new rsch indicates median prices in regional areas 3.4% for the yr to June 30. (AFR)

Mirvac to refocus build-to-rent strategy to NSW a/f 50% cut on land tax. (AFR)


Blackstone will purchase 4 Japan logistics facilities in Greater Tokyo & Greater Nagoya from Daiwa House for 55b ($523m). Daiwa House will continue to manage the facilities. (Nikkei)

Ichigo Invsmt Advisors is reorganizing its sales structure & eliminating its Acqn & Sales Division. (Co)

Ichigo Asset Mgt’s stake in Open House to 6.16% from 5.03%. (Kabutan)

PGGM Vermogensbeheer B.V's stake in GLP J-Reit to 5.88% from 7.03%. (Kabutan)

Worsening Virus Spread Hurts Mitsui Fudosan's Income: 1Q Preview (BBG)


Brookfield reportedly planning to pick up 50% stake across office projects of RMZ, deal will be worth Rs 40b-56b ($535-750m). (VCCircle)


Pakuwon Jati First Half Net Income 482.55 Bln Rupiah (Bloomberg) - 1H revenue 1.97 trillion

Ciputra Development First Half Net Income 169.51 Bln Rupiah (Bloomberg) -  1H revenue 2.8 trillion rupiah; 1H EPS 9 rupiah


PSE index closed below the 6000-point threshold for 1st time in 9 wks. Tighter lockdown on Metro Manila & NCR; 2Q GDP results Thursday; July inflation this week. Xpectations 2Q GDP could fall as low as -20% YoY.

President Duterte tightened Metro Manila and the NCR’s lockdown status to MECQ effective Aug 4. No public transport; Only public shuttles will be allowed to service front-liners; Hotels will open only for basic lodging; Malls can maintain occupancy rate at 50% capacity; Restaurants lowered to 50% capacity and no dine-in; Leaving homes will only be to obtain essential goods or work in industries exempted (healthcare, supply chains, pharma, groceries, telecom).  Banks to give 30-day grace period for any loan that fall due during MECQ status; Gatherings are limited to 5; All gyms and sports facilities will be closed. Govt offices will drop to a skeletal workforce compared to alternative work arrangements


* My pa holdings: BAC US, 1 HK, 6 HK, ST SP

Sarah Cooper

Managing Director

Global Head, Real Estate Equity Sales
BofA Securities
55/F Cheung Kong Center, 2 Queen's Road Central, Hong Kong

T 852.3508.4938 M 852.9301.1149



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